{"id":1284,"date":"2023-10-12T06:20:56","date_gmt":"2023-10-12T04:20:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lipovylist.cz\/wordpress\/?p=1284"},"modified":"2023-10-12T06:21:52","modified_gmt":"2023-10-12T04:21:52","slug":"osobni-pohled-na-duvody-toho-co-se-deje","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lipovylist.cz\/wordpress\/osobni-pohled-na-duvody-toho-co-se-deje\/","title":{"rendered":"Osobn\u00ed pohled na d\u016fvody toho, co se d\u011bje."},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Autor : von Lihov<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00e1\u017een\u00ed p\u00e1nov\u00e9 a d\u00e1my, dobr\u00fd den!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V informa\u010dn\u00edm prostoru se nyn\u00ed hojn\u011b diskutuje o konfliktu na \u00fazem\u00ed St\u00e1tu Izrael a Palestinsk\u00e9 samospr\u00e1vy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Byly p\u0159edlo\u017eeny r\u016fzn\u00e9 verze, kdo je organiz\u00e1torem a nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edjemcem konfliktu. Mnoho autor\u016f na webu ji\u017e sv\u00e9 \u010dl\u00e1nky napsalo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Chci vyj\u00e1d\u0159it sv\u016fj n\u00e1zor na tuto problematiku. Z m\u00e9ho pohledu z tohoto konfliktu nejv\u00edce profituj\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Je to d\u00e1no p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm \u00fakoly, kter\u00e9 p\u0159ed Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty stoj\u00ed na strategick\u00e9 \u00farovni. Podle m\u00e9ho n\u00e1zoru se jedn\u00e1 o n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fakoly:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– obnovit autonomii pro v\u011bt\u0161inu statk\u016f nezbytn\u00fdch pro existenci st\u00e1tu a obyvatelstva. Zajistit jejich v\u00fdrobu ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– obnovit konkuren\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fdhody (jako je technologick\u00e1 p\u0159evaha, cenov\u00e1 p\u0159evaha, schopnost prov\u00e1d\u011bt hromadn\u00e9 dod\u00e1vky v p\u0159im\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 dob\u011b) americk\u00e9 produkce;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– zajistit \u00faspory cenn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f (lidsk\u00fdch, mana\u017eersk\u00fdch, finan\u010dn\u00edch), kter\u00e9 jsou nyn\u00ed vynakl\u00e1d\u00e1ny na vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed obrazu sjednocen\u00e9ho z\u00e1padn\u00edho sv\u011bta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jak n\u00e1s u\u010d\u00ed aktu\u00e1ln\u011b nejrozvinut\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ekonomick\u00e1 teorie, ekonomie je z\u00e1kladem, na kter\u00e9m je postaveno v\u0161e ostatn\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty toho nemohou dos\u00e1hnout se sv\u00fdmi dostupn\u00fdmi zdroji:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– pro n\u00e1pad nen\u00ed dostatek zap\u00e1len\u00e9 populace schopn\u00e9 pracovat za sn\u00ed\u017een\u00e9 ceny;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Je divok\u00fd nedostatek vy\u0161kolen\u00e9ho person\u00e1lu, jak in\u017een\u00fdrsk\u00e9ho, tak managementu. Jejich vlastn\u00ed vzd\u011bl\u00e1vac\u00ed instituce \u0161kol\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm \u00fazk\u00e9 specialisty. Jen velmi dob\u0159e situovan\u00ed lid\u00e9 si mohou dovolit komplexn\u00ed vzd\u011bl\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jim umo\u017en\u00ed nahl\u00ed\u017eet komplexn\u011b na probl\u00e9my. Pot\u0159ebu nepokr\u00fdv\u00e1 ani \u201eodliv mozk\u016f\u201c z jin\u00fdch zem\u00ed. V dne\u0161n\u00ed dob\u011b ne ka\u017ed\u00fd tou\u017e\u00ed po USA jako o zemi sn\u016f;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– nen\u00ed dostatek trh\u016f pro zbo\u017e\u00ed vyroben\u00e9 ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, i kdy\u017e je pr\u00e1v\u011b tady a te\u010f lep\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e zbo\u017e\u00ed odp\u016frc\u016f. Kapitalismus s\u00e1m o sob\u011b, jak v\u00edme, nen\u00ed uzav\u0159en\u00fd syst\u00e9m a p\u0159i absenci extern\u00edho zdroje je zisk nemo\u017en\u00fd, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 pob\u00eddka k rozvoji. Pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 jsou bu\u010f z\u00e1sadn\u011b nov\u00e9 trhy, kter\u00e9 mohou slou\u017eit jako pob\u00eddky pro ekonomick\u00fd rozvoj (informa\u010dn\u00ed slu\u017eby pro obyvatelstvo (chytr\u00e9 telefony\/v\u0161emo\u017en\u00e9 instant messengery\/slu\u017eby streamov\u00e1n\u00ed videa v r\u016fzn\u00fdch verz\u00edch), nebo nap\u0159. pot\u0159eba v\u00fdm\u011bny za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed na splnit nov\u00e9 ekologick\u00e9 po\u017eadavky p\u0159ed dokon\u010den\u00edm standardn\u00edch odpis\u016f tohoto za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed\/jeho v\u00fdkon mimo provoz (agenda \u017eivotn\u00edho prost\u0159ed\u00ed obecn\u011b\/v\u011btrn\u00e9 turb\u00edny\/panely\/elektromobily) Nebo p\u0159erozd\u011blen\u00ed tradi\u010dn\u00edch trh\u016f (potraviny, energie\/miner\u00e1ly, kucha\u0159i s vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Na z\u00e1klad\u011b t\u011bchto pozic je pro USA strategicky v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 zajistit koncentraci zdroj\u016f (p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm lidsk\u00fdch) na \u00fazem\u00ed USA a nejen urychlit vlastn\u00ed rozvoj, ale i zpomalit rozvoj konkuren\u010dn\u00edch protivn\u00edk\u016f. \/strategi\u010dt\u00ed partne\u0159i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Z m\u00e9ho pohledu tedy mohou Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty t\u011b\u017eit z t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jak\u00e9hokoli konfliktu, v\u010detn\u011b hork\u00e9 f\u00e1ze, v\u010detn\u011b omezen\u00e9ho pou\u017eit\u00ed zbran\u00ed hromadn\u00e9ho ni\u010den\u00ed v r\u00e1mci Star\u00e9ho sv\u011bta (Eurasie, Afrika).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Na p\u0159\u00edkladu konfliktu na \u00fazem\u00ed Izraele a Palestinsk\u00e9 samospr\u00e1vy \u2013 z tohoto pohledu je \u00fapln\u011b jedno, kdo vyhraje a jak konflikt dopadne. Je pouze nutn\u00e9 jej udr\u017eovat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

U\u017e prvn\u00ed den konfliktu jsme vid\u011bli fronty na tel Avivsk\u00e9m leti\u0161ti. Nejprve, \u0159ekn\u011bme, \u201elid\u00e9 sv\u011bta\u201c uprchli, ale pokud se konflikt roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed, povede to k nemo\u017enosti v\u00fdroby v Izraeli a kompetentn\u00ed in\u017een\u00fd\u0159i, kter\u00fdm se nyn\u00ed v \u017eivot\u011b da\u0159\u00ed, uprchnou jednodu\u0161e kv\u016fli nemo\u017enost pr\u00e1ce. Z hlediska \u201eMake America Great Again\u201c je \u0161patn\u00e9, \u017ee Intel m\u00e1 tov\u00e1rnu na v\u00fdrobu mikro\u010dip\u016f v Izraeli \u2013 nem\u00e1 tam co d\u011blat, mnohem l\u00e9pe by bylo v Arizon\u011b nebo Texasu (pokud cht\u011bj\u00ed vyr\u00e1b\u011bt v pou\u0161ti a existuj\u00ed zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed po\u017eadavky na prach vzduch).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brutalita jedn\u00e1n\u00ed obou stran vede k tomu, \u017ee se radikalizuj\u00ed nejen ob\u010dan\u00e9 t\u011bchto zem\u00ed, ale i jejich komunity v jin\u00fdch zem\u00edch. Bez ohledu na to, jak se nyn\u00ed Evropa (v \u0161irok\u00e9m slova smyslu) chov\u00e1, zjevn\u011b se najdou nespokojen\u00ed lid\u00e9 a vznikne dal\u0161\u00ed zdroj konfliktu, by\u0165 v podob\u011b m\u00edrov\u00e9 ob\u010dansk\u00e9 konfrontace, a v evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch. A lid\u00e9 budou zase b\u011bhat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USA jako v\u016fdce z\u00e1padn\u00edho sv\u011bta a jako nejbezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b budou fungovat jako akumul\u00e1tor t\u011bchto tok\u016f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Po\u017eadavky t\u011bchto lid\u00ed budou nav\u00edc nep\u0159\u00edmo \u00fam\u011brn\u00e9 m\u00ed\u0159e strachu, p\u0159ed n\u00edm\u017e ut\u00edkaj\u00ed \u2013 \u010d\u00edm v\u00edce se ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed \u201erud\u00e9 hrozby\u201c\/\u201epomsty znovuobnoven\u00e9 Unie\u201c\/\u201earabsk\u00e9ho jara\u201c\/\u201eekologick\u00e9 krize\u201c\/ \u201eHospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e1 krize\u201c\/\u201eTyranie\u201c\/atd. atd. a tak d\u00e1le. \u010c\u00edm hor\u0161\u00ed to bude v Evrop\u011b, \u010d\u00edm m\u00e9n\u011b kompetentn\u00ed evrop\u0161t\u00ed in\u017een\u00fd\u0159i a norm\u00e1ln\u00ed mana\u017ee\u0159i v USA budou muset platit, t\u00edm bude v\u00fdroba v USA ekonomicky v\u00fdnosn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tak\u00e9 chci \u0159\u00edci o omezen\u00edch v rozhodnut\u00edch USA kv\u016fli d\u0159\u00edve p\u0159ijat\u00fdm z\u00e1vazk\u016fm – nap\u0159\u00edklad b\u00fdt stejn\u00fdm garantem NATO, garantem Izraele. To v\u0161e nejen odeb\u00edr\u00e1 vz\u00e1cn\u00e9 zdroje, ale tak\u00e9 omezuje veden\u00ed USA v rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed \u2013 nem\u011bla by se radik\u00e1ln\u011b rozch\u00e1zet s t\u00edm, co USA d\u0159\u00edve sl\u00edbily sv\u00fdm drah\u00fdm evropsk\u00fdm partner\u016fm a Izraeli. Z tohoto pohledu nemus\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty t\u011b\u017eit z izraelsk\u00e9ho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00edm konfliktu. Ne, samoz\u0159ejm\u011b je nutn\u00e9 deklarovat podporu, jinak lid\u00e9 neute\u010dou do USA, ale aby zdroj vy\u017ed\u00edmali, dos\u00e1hli maxim\u00e1ln\u00edho chaosu a z\u00e1rove\u0148 r\u00e1zn\u011b odhodili v\u0161echny sliby – ano, sna\u017eili se, ale vid\u00edte sami, te\u010f u\u017e neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd st\u00e1t, kter\u00e9mu jsme sl\u00edbili ochranu. To je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ostuda, ostuda, ale jsme p\u0159ipraveni p\u0159ijmout ka\u017ed\u00e9ho, kdo se k n\u00e1m bude cht\u00edt p\u0159idat a v\u011b\u0159it, \u017ee v budoucnu se s na\u0161\u00ed pomoc\u00ed va\u0161e zem\u011b znovu zrod\u00ed. A te\u010f k tomu mus\u00edte pracovat pro americkou ekonomiku \u2013 pom\u00e1h\u00e1te si sami.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nav\u00edc Izrael m\u016f\u017ee vyhr\u00e1t \u2013 to je tak\u00e9 dob\u0159e. Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee okoln\u00edm zem\u00edm se st\u00e1t Izrael na lidov\u00e9 \u00farovni p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 nel\u00edb\u00ed a pokud se konflikt uk\u00e1\u017ee spr\u00e1vn\u011b (a bude spr\u00e1vn\u011b – o tom nen\u00ed pochyb), budou vl\u00e1dy t\u011bchto zem\u00ed nuceny pomoci palestinsk\u00e9 samospr\u00e1v\u011b. A na jihoz\u00e1pad\u011b, velmi bl\u00edzko, na druh\u00e9m konci Sinajsk\u00e9ho poloostrova je Suezsk\u00fd pr\u016fplav \u2013 \u201eAorta imp\u00e9ria\u201c. Pokud ho Izraelci dos\u00e1hnou jako p\u0159edt\u00edm, ve\u0161ker\u00fd sv\u011btov\u00fd obchod s Evropou z Asie se zastav\u00ed. Nyn\u00ed v\u0161ak v Atlantiku na trase USA-Evropa nejsou \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u201evl\u010d\u00ed sme\u010dky z Deinitz\u201c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jak\u00fdkoli v\u00fdvoj konfliktu je tedy pro USA v\u00fdhodn\u00fd a naopak jeho utlumen\u00ed p\u0159\u00ednosn\u00e9 nen\u00ed \u2013 nedojde k dodate\u010dn\u00e9mu sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed ekonomiky Izraele a Evropy jako celku.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stejn\u00fdm sm\u011brem hraje i nehoda \u201ev d\u016fsledku vn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho vlivu\u201c plynovodu Baltic Connector \u2013 umo\u017e\u0148uje zv\u00fd\u0161it s\u00e1zky na druh\u00e9m k\u0159\u00eddle Evropy. Bez plynovodu nem\u00e1 Finsko p\u0159\u00edstup k z\u00e1sobn\u00edk\u016fm plynu v pobaltsk\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, co\u017e vzhledem k odm\u00edtnut\u00ed dod\u00e1vek plynovodu z Ruska \u010din\u00ed Finsko z\u00e1visl\u00fdm na jedin\u00e9m termin\u00e1lu pro zp\u011btn\u00e9 zplynov\u00e1n\u00ed. Ale v Severn\u00edm mo\u0159i a v D\u00e1nsk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu m\u016f\u017ee doch\u00e1zet k r\u016fzn\u00fdm incident\u016fm, od mo\u0159sk\u00fdch min z prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e9 se je\u0161t\u011b nevyno\u0159ily, a\u017e po migrace \u201etule\u0148\u016f ko\u017ee\u0161inov\u00fdch\u201c nebo \u201evz\u00e1cn\u00fdch sladkovodn\u00edch tu\u010d\u0148\u00e1k\u016f Grendlandsk\u00fdch\u201c kv\u016fli kter\u00e9 mus\u00ed b\u00fdt p\u0159eprava plynov\u00fdch p\u0159epravc\u016f samoz\u0159ejm\u011b do\u010dasn\u011b zastavena .<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Situace na Ukrajin\u011b je podobn\u00e1 – proto\u017ee potenci\u00e1l vlivu na geopolitick\u00e9ho strategick\u00e9ho partnera je vy\u010derp\u00e1n, podporu lze omezit, uvolnit zdroje – „Vy s\u00e1m jste neusp\u011bl v protiofenz\u00edv\u011b. Dali jsme v\u00e1m za to v\u0161echno. A dokonce i term\u00edny byly dovoleno postupovat vp\u0159ed! Jak je to mo\u017en\u00e9!? Pro\u010d se cel\u00e9 jednotky va\u0161ich lid\u00ed vzd\u00e1vaj\u00ed!?“ Stejn\u011b tak Rusko vynalo\u017e\u00ed extr\u00e9mn\u011b vz\u00e1cn\u00e9 mana\u017eersk\u00e9 a in\u017een\u00fdrsk\u00e9 zdroje na obnovu v\u0161eho, co se mu ztrat\u00ed (co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee \u00fakolem bude vr\u00e1tit co nejv\u00edce).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V d\u016fsledku toho v\u0161echny taktick\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty, jako jsou:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– ztr\u00e1ta obli\u010deje;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– ztr\u00e1ty v dod\u00e1van\u00e9m za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– zdroje vlastn\u00ed techniky a vlastn\u00edch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil;<\/p>\n\n\n\n

velmi mal\u00fd v pom\u011bru k mo\u017en\u00e9mu strategick\u00e9mu zisku. Vlastn\u011b nechte chlapy na velk\u00fdch lod\u00edch j\u00edt do St\u0159edozemn\u00edho mo\u0159e – koneckonc\u016f je to pro n\u011b dobr\u00e9. Jinak stagnuj\u00ed a nemaj\u00ed co d\u011blat \u2013 a\u0165 se d\u00edvaj\u00ed na lidi (jak se to d\u011bje ve skute\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00e1lce) a ukazuj\u00ed se. Budou tam na m\u00edrov\u00e9 misi, aby podpo\u0159ili drah\u00e9ho spojence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u0161echny izraelsk\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby musely ok\u00e1zale selhat, aby prospaly za\u010d\u00e1tek takov\u00e9ho konfliktu. Je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 v\u0161e p\u0159ipisovat hlouposti.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A pro Rusko a \u010c\u00ednu \u2013 vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee tempo hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho rozvoje obou zem\u00ed p\u0159evy\u0161uje tempo rozvoje strategick\u00fdch partner\u016f a v\u00e1\u017een\u00fdch p\u0159\u00e1tel a z\u00e1rove\u0148 siln\u011b z\u00e1vis\u00ed na stavu sv\u011btov\u00e9 ekonomiky jako celku, pak ob\u011b zem\u011b t\u011b\u017e\u00ed z nejbezkonfliktn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho v\u00fdvoje situace. V tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b bude role Z\u00e1padu neust\u00e1le klesat a role Ruska a \u010c\u00edny neust\u00e1le poroste.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ob\u011b zem\u011b maj\u00ed pom\u011brn\u011b velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00e9 se v\u0161ak li\u0161\u00ed od probl\u00e9m\u016f Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a jsou \u0159e\u0161eny odli\u0161n\u00fdmi metodami.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tedy i p\u0159es taktick\u00e9 v\u00fdhody plynouc\u00ed ze skute\u010dnosti, \u017ee podpora Z\u00e1padu a Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f sm\u011b\u0159ovan\u00e1 na Ukrajinu bude klesat \u2013 co\u017e na\u0161im chlap\u016fm umo\u017en\u00ed utrp\u011bt m\u00e9n\u011b ztr\u00e1t v kone\u010dn\u00e9 f\u00e1zi konfliktu (s\u00e1m ob\u010dan Zelenskij o kone\u010dn\u00e9 f\u00e1zi \u0159ekl ), ale strategicky je pro n\u00e1s v\u00fdhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed co nejv\u00edce uhasit konflikt mezi Izraelem a Palestinskou samospr\u00e1vou a donutit ob\u011b strany k jednac\u00edmu stolu za pou\u017eit\u00ed ekonomick\u00fdch metod.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To je podobn\u011b v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 pro \u010c\u00ednu, dokud nebude pln\u011b realizov\u00e1n projekt One Belt \u2013 One Road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Koment\u00e1\u0159 autora:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee dal\u0161\u00ed \u201ezlat\u00fd v\u011bk\u201c skon\u010dil a sv\u011bt se dostal do bodu za\u010d\u00e1tku nov\u00e9 etapy glob\u00e1ln\u00ed krize. A to pro v\u011bt\u0161inu oby\u010dejn\u00fdch lid\u00ed nev\u011bst\u00ed nic dobr\u00e9ho.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Douf\u00e1m, \u017ee tentokr\u00e1t, na rozd\u00edl od t\u00e9 minul\u00e9 (2. sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka), projdeme touto f\u00e1z\u00ed s men\u0161\u00edm po\u010dtem ob\u011bt\u00ed a ztr\u00e1t a ob\u010dansk\u00e1 spole\u010dnost se ji\u017e rozrostla, aby p\u0159inutila v\u016fdce sv\u00fdch zem\u00ed (p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed, proto\u017ee je rozd\u011bluj\u00ed) poslouchat na hlas rozumu a nevtrhnout do nov\u00e9 tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky ve jm\u00e9nu nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch z\u00e1jm\u016f jin\u00e9 zem\u011b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Autor : von Lihov V\u00e1\u017een\u00ed p\u00e1nov\u00e9 a d\u00e1my, dobr\u00fd den! 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