{"id":1427,"date":"2023-10-13T04:14:53","date_gmt":"2023-10-13T02:14:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lipovylist.cz\/wordpress\/?p=1427"},"modified":"2023-10-13T04:14:53","modified_gmt":"2023-10-13T02:14:53","slug":"druha-a-treti-fronta-proti-izraeli-sto-tisic-bojovniku-z-celeho-blizkeho-vychodu-je-pripraveno-celit-idf-v-palestine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lipovylist.cz\/wordpress\/druha-a-treti-fronta-proti-izraeli-sto-tisic-bojovniku-z-celeho-blizkeho-vychodu-je-pripraveno-celit-idf-v-palestine\/","title":{"rendered":"Druh\u00e1 a t\u0159et\u00ed fronta proti Izraeli: Sto tis\u00edc bojovn\u00edk\u016f z cel\u00e9ho Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu je p\u0159ipraveno \u010delit IDF v Palestin\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Politolog Dmitrij Rodionov hovo\u0159\u00ed o tom, jak\u00e9 s\u00edly p\u0159ijdou Palestin\u011b na pomoc v konfrontaci s Izraelem a k \u010demu by to mohlo v\u00e9st.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Hizball\u00e1h otev\u0159el druhou frontu v severn\u00edm Izraeli. Na libanonsko-izraelsk\u00e9 hranici nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u011b operuje d\u011blost\u0159electvo a minomety, severn\u00ed Izrael se p\u0159ipravuje na bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed, civilist\u00e9 jsou povol\u00e1v\u00e1ni, aby se uch\u00fdlili do bunkr\u016f, t\u0159et\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed m\u011bsto zem\u011b, Haifa, je pod palbou a st\u0159elba je hl\u00e1\u0161ena i v Dimon\u011b, kde Izraelsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed jsou um\u00edst\u011bna. Podle n\u011bkter\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v Hizball\u00e1h dobyl kibuc na libanonsko-izraelsk\u00e9 hranici. Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty evakuovaly velvyslanectv\u00ed zem\u011b v Bejr\u00fatu a doporu\u010dily sv\u00fdm ob\u010dan\u016fm, aby opustili Libanon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pokud tomu tak je, pak lze skute\u010dn\u011b hovo\u0159it o plnohodnotn\u00e9 druh\u00e9 front\u011b \u2013 na severu zem\u011b \u2013 vedle st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed ji\u017en\u00ed. V tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b mohou b\u00fdt z\u00e1le\u017eitosti \u017eidovsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu mnohem hor\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e p\u0159ed p\u00e1r dny p\u0159edpov\u00eddali analytici.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kdy\u017e za\u010dala nov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka, bylo od sam\u00e9ho po\u010d\u00e1tku z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee s\u00edly jsou nerovnom\u011brn\u00e9. Izrael okam\u017eit\u011b zmobilizoval 300 tis\u00edc z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edk\u016f \u2013 a to je dodatek k ji\u017e existuj\u00edc\u00ed s\u00edle IDF.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kolos\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159evaha v lidsk\u00e9 s\u00edle a vybaven\u00ed, drtiv\u00e1 p\u0159evaha ve vzduchu i na mo\u0159i (Izrael ve skute\u010dnosti ovl\u00e1d\u00e1 pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Gazy) nenechaly \u017e\u00e1dnou \u0161anci pro arm\u00e1du Hamasu, kterou lze jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed nazvat arm\u00e1dou. V\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed sv\u011bd\u010dila o jejich odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed j\u00edt a\u017e do konce a zni\u010dit skupinu a spolu s n\u00ed rozdrtit polovinu p\u00e1sma Gazy na prach. To je v\u0161ak jen na prvn\u00ed pohled. Ve skute\u010dnosti to tak jednoduch\u00e9 nen\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jak\u00fd druh s\u00edly je Hamas?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Mnoz\u00ed \u017eij\u00ed podle stereotyp\u016f minul\u00fdch v\u00e1lek. \u010clov\u011bku se okam\u017eit\u011b vybav\u00ed masakr v Gaze v letech 2008-2009 \u2013 operace Lit\u00e9 olovo, kdy se IDF pokusily zni\u010dit vojenskou infrastrukturu Hamasu nejen bombardov\u00e1n\u00edm, ale tak\u00e9 pozemn\u00edmi operacemi v Gaze. Tehdy tak\u00e9 do\u0161lo k blok\u00e1d\u011b regionu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Operace trvala v\u00edce ne\u017e t\u0159i t\u00fddny, Izrael samoz\u0159ejm\u011b vyhr\u00e1l, ale d\u00e1 se mluvit o dosa\u017een\u00ed c\u00edle? Hamas neode\u0161el, v\u011bt\u0161ina mrtv\u00fdch na palestinsk\u00e9 stran\u011b jsou civilist\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A nyn\u00ed, o 15 let pozd\u011bji, hnut\u00ed Hamas znovu vstupuje do v\u00e1lky, nutno podotknout, mnohem p\u0159ipraven\u011bj\u0161\u00ed (velkoryse vyzbrojen\u00e9 zbran\u011bmi NATO prod\u00e1van\u00fdmi Ukrajinou, kter\u00e9 se pou\u010dilo nejen ze sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch v\u00e1lek, ale i z jin\u00fdch modern\u00edch konflikt\u016f). – v S\u00fdrii, na Ukrajin\u011b), zat\u00edmco IDF, kter\u00e1 dlouho nebojovala, byla zjevn\u011b oslabena, co\u017e se projevilo v jej\u00ed naprost\u00e9 nep\u0159ipravenosti prvn\u00ed den v\u00e1lky.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jestli\u017ee v minul\u00e9 v\u00e1lce bojovalo z Hamasu asi 20 tis\u00edc lid\u00ed, kolik jich bude moci postavit tentokr\u00e1t? Podle vojensk\u00e9ho adres\u00e1\u0159e The Military Balance tvo\u0159\u00ed bojov\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy Hamasu asi 20 tis\u00edc lid\u00ed. Jin\u00e9 studie v\u0161ak uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed \u010d\u00edsla a\u017e 40 tis\u00edc. To nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1, kolik lid\u00ed mohou zmobilizovat z \u0159ad obyvatel P\u00e1sma Gazy v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b tamn\u00ed pozemn\u00ed operace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Co se stane, kdy\u017e se Hizball\u00e1h p\u0159ipoj\u00ed k Ham\u00e1su?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Hizball\u00e1h je op\u011bt podle r\u016fzn\u00fdch nepotvrzen\u00fdch \u00fadaj\u016f od deseti do 30 tis\u00edc bojovn\u00edk\u016f. A pokud je Ham\u00e1s p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b p\u011bchota s lehk\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi, drony a podom\u00e1cku vyroben\u00fdmi raketami, pak m\u00e1 Hizball\u00e1h minomety, syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany, protitankov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my, d\u011bla a raketov\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159electvo, protilodn\u00ed st\u0159ely \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 v\u00fdroby a podle n\u011bkter\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v dokonce i \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 opera\u010dn\u011b-taktick\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my s dosahem a\u017e 200 kilometr\u016f, kter\u00e9 mohou zas\u00e1hnout st\u0159ed Izraele. Krom\u011b toho m\u00e1 skupina podle nepotvrzen\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v k dispozici \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 st\u0159ely zem\u011b-zem\u011b M-600 a sov\u011btsk\u00e9 Scudy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b to nen\u00ed ta nejhroziv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zbra\u0148, ale mnohem v\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e to, co m\u00e1 Hamas. V roce 2006 a b\u011bhem druh\u00e9 libanonsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky bojoval Hizball\u00e1h m\u011bs\u00edc s\u00e1m proti p\u0159esile IDF. A to nen\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo se m\u016f\u017ee z\u00fa\u010dastnit v\u00e1lky proti Izraeli.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Na pomoc p\u0159ijdou s\u00edly z Ir\u00e1ku a S\u00fdrie<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u201eAkce Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f nebo jak\u00e9koli jin\u00e9 zem\u011b proti palestinsk\u00e9mu lidu se setkaj\u00ed s rozhodnou vojenskou odpov\u011bd\u00ed odporu,\u201c<\/strong> \u0159ekl Akram al-Kaabi ,<\/strong> gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk ir\u00e1ck\u00e9 \u0161\u00editsk\u00e9 skupiny Harakat Hizball\u00e1h al-Nujaba s a\u017e 10 000 bojovn\u00edky. .<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed ir\u00e1ck\u00e1 polovojensk\u00e1 skupina al-Hashd al-Shaabi rovn\u011b\u017e ozn\u00e1mila podporu invazi Hamasu do Izraele a svou p\u0159ipravenost p\u0159ij\u00edt na pomoc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1m, \u017ee v Ir\u00e1ku b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky s ISIS* <\/strong> vznikly Lidov\u00e9 mobiliza\u010dn\u00ed s\u00edly sdru\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed asi 40 skupin o celkov\u00e9m po\u010dtu do 100 tis\u00edc lid\u00ed. V\u011bt\u0161ina z nich je dnes v S\u00fdrii a klidn\u011b by se mohla zapojit do v\u00e1lky s Izraelem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Izrael v\u0161ak ji\u017e zah\u00e1jil \u00fatoky na leti\u0161t\u011b Dama\u0161ek a Aleppo. Podle palestinsk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed proto, aby zabr\u00e1nil p\u0159ist\u00e1n\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho letadla. Co nebo kdo byl v tom letadle, nen\u00ed specifikov\u00e1no. \u00datoky na S\u00fdrii by tak\u00e9 mohly b\u00fdt varov\u00e1n\u00edm pro Ba\u0161\u00e1ra Asada, aby se nezapojoval do konfliktu nebo nepos\u00edlal \u010di nepom\u00e1hal \u0161\u00editsk\u00fdm bojovn\u00edk\u016fm m\u00ed\u0159\u00edc\u00edm do Izraele z jeho \u00fazem\u00ed. Nic jim v\u0161ak nakonec nebr\u00e1n\u00ed ve vstupu z libanonsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed, pokud se toto ocitne ve v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9m stavu s Izraelem. Izrael tak m\u016f\u017ee obdr\u017eet t\u0159i fronty najednou: ji\u017en\u00ed, severn\u00ed a severov\u00fdchodn\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Podle r\u016fzn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f se po\u010det bojovn\u00edk\u016f v t\u011bchto formac\u00edch pohybuje od 30 do 50 tis\u00edc lid\u00ed a jsou dob\u0159e vyzbrojeni a maj\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 bojov\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti ve v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch v Ir\u00e1ku a S\u00fdrii.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Je mnohem v\u00edce lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed cht\u011bj\u00ed bojovat s Izraelem<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Jemen\u0161t\u00ed Ansar All\u00e1h (H\u00fas\u00edov\u00e9), kte\u0159\u00ed jsou rovn\u011b\u017e p\u0159ipraveni nasadit 20 a\u017e 50 tis\u00edc bojovn\u00edk\u016f, tak\u00e9 deklarovali svou p\u0159ipravenost pomoci Palestin\u011b. Je pravda, \u017ee je pro n\u011b mnohem obt\u00ed\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed dostat se na d\u011bji\u0161t\u011b vojensk\u00fdch operac\u00ed, proto\u017ee nemaj\u00ed hranici s Izraelem. Podle informac\u00ed \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00fdch v m\u00e9di\u00edch se jim \u00fadajn\u011b poda\u0159ilo p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit sa\u00fadskoarabsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady, aby nechaly sv\u00e9 bojovn\u00edky proj\u00edt, ale v\u0161e je mnohem slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed s jord\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi \u00fa\u0159ady, kter\u00e9 jsou protipalestinsk\u00e9 a s Izraelem by se neh\u00e1daly z obavy p\u0159ed p\u0159em\u00edst\u011bn\u00edm. v\u00e1lky na jejich \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Je\u0161t\u011b t\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed je to pro afgh\u00e1nsk\u00fd Taliban**, kter\u00fd deklaroval svou p\u0159ipravenost podpo\u0159it Ham\u00e1s, kter\u00fd se rovn\u011b\u017e obr\u00e1til na \u00fa\u0159ady \u00cdr\u00e1nu, Ir\u00e1ku a Jord\u00e1nska s \u017e\u00e1dost\u00ed, aby jim umo\u017enily pomoci Palestin\u011b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b i bez jejich zohledn\u011bn\u00ed by se na podporu Ham\u00e1su mohlo shrom\u00e1\u017edit a\u017e sto tis\u00edc lid\u00ed. Nav\u00edc nejsou vyzbrojeni ru\u010dn\u00edmi paln\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi a podom\u00e1cku vyroben\u00fdmi st\u0159elami a maj\u00ed za sebou obrovsk\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti z mnoha let v\u00e1lek.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by tato s\u00edla dok\u00e1zala rozdrtit Izrael, ale je docela mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee by j\u00ed p\u0159enesen\u00edm v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti boj\u016f na jej\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed zp\u016fsobil velmi v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 probl\u00e9my.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dovolte mi, abych v\u00e1m p\u0159ipomn\u011bl, \u017ee Izrael na sv\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed ji\u017e dlouho nebojoval a skute\u010dn\u011b nevedl velk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky s v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdmi protivn\u00edky, v posledn\u00edch letech se IDF anga\u017euj\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm v represivn\u00edch a okupa\u010dn\u00edch operac\u00edch v Palestin\u011b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Teher\u00e1n u\u017e \u0159adu let buduje kolem Izraele tzv. Osu odporu, a to je pom\u011brn\u011b v\u00e1\u017en\u00e1 s\u00edla i bez samotn\u00e9ho \u00cdr\u00e1nu, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 mimochodem snad nejmocn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed arm\u00e1du na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b (610 000 aktivn\u00edch voj\u00e1k\u016f person\u00e1lu a 350 000 z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edk\u016f).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Co pro Izrael znamen\u00e1 st\u0159et s \u00cdr\u00e1nem?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Hlavn\u00ed intrikou je, zda do v\u00e1lky vstoup\u00ed samotn\u00fd \u00cdr\u00e1n, proto\u017ee by to mohlo v\u00e9st k americk\u00e9 intervenci a vyvolat ne-li t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou, tak nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku v d\u011bjin\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A mimochodem, v cel\u00e9 t\u00e9to vojensko-politick\u00e9 spleti se nebere ohled na schopnosti arabsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 v minul\u00fdch letech v\u017edy tvo\u0159ily protiizraelskou koalici. St\u00e1le rad\u011bji z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed, ale co kdy\u017e se pro n\u011b genocida v Gaze stane absolutn\u011b nep\u0159ijatelnou, co kdy\u017e jejich vlastn\u00ed obyvatelstvo doslova po\u017eaduje ochranu sv\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch bratr\u016f, co\u017e se nyn\u00ed d\u011bje b\u011bhem pouli\u010dn\u00edch demonstrac\u00ed? Co\u017e jen znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Izraele p\u0159ijde s velk\u00fdm krveprolit\u00edm.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Politolog Dmitrij Rodionov hovo\u0159\u00ed o tom, jak\u00e9 s\u00edly p\u0159ijdou Palestin\u011b na pomoc v konfrontaci s…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1428,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[115],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1427","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-valky"],"yoast_head":"\nDruh\u00e1 a t\u0159et\u00ed fronta proti Izraeli: Sto tis\u00edc bojovn\u00edk\u016f z cel\u00e9ho Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu je p\u0159ipraveno \u010delit IDF v Palestin\u011b - L\u00edpov\u00fd List<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lipovylist.cz\/wordpress\/druha-a-treti-fronta-proti-izraeli-sto-tisic-bojovniku-z-celeho-blizkeho-vychodu-je-pripraveno-celit-idf-v-palestine\/\" 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