{"id":735,"date":"2023-10-06T01:01:41","date_gmt":"2023-10-05T23:01:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lipovylist.cz\/wordpress\/?p=735"},"modified":"2023-10-06T01:01:41","modified_gmt":"2023-10-05T23:01:41","slug":"cernomorska-flotila-opousti-sevastopol-pokud-ano-pak-jsou-v-sazce-odesa-a-nikolajev","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lipovylist.cz\/wordpress\/cernomorska-flotila-opousti-sevastopol-pokud-ano-pak-jsou-v-sazce-odesa-a-nikolajev\/","title":{"rendered":"\u010cernomo\u0159sk\u00e1 flotila opou\u0161t\u00ed Sevastopol. Pokud ano, pak jsou v s\u00e1zce Od\u011bsa a Nikolajev"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia za\u010dala posilovat informace o sta\u017een\u00ed lod\u00ed \u010cernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 flotily ze Sevastopolu. Nav\u00edc to potvrzuj\u00ed satelitn\u00ed sn\u00edmky, kter\u00e9 \u00fadajn\u011b odhalily \u201estrategick\u00fd man\u00e9vr\u201c na\u0161ich lod\u00ed. Co se d\u011bje, jsme zji\u0161\u0165ovali spole\u010dn\u011b s odborn\u00edky.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Co je zn\u00e1mo o p\u0159esunu flotily do Novorossijsku<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Prezident Abch\u00e1zie Aslan Bzhania<\/strong> \u0159ekl listu Izvestija, \u017ee v republice se objev\u00ed st\u00e1l\u00e1 z\u00e1kladna pro lod\u011b rusk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva, konkr\u00e9tn\u011b v z\u00e1livu Ochamchira. Kreml nekomentoval zpr\u00e1vy o p\u0159esunu \u010dernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 flotily ze Sevastopolu, stejn\u011b jako o vytvo\u0159en\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed z\u00e1kladny v Abch\u00e1zii. Mezit\u00edm do hry vstoupili dal\u0161\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010di…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ot\u00e1zka bezpe\u010dnosti flotily se stala aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed zejm\u00e9na v americk\u00e9 agend\u011b. Pro Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty vypad\u00e1 obr\u00e1zek takto: pot\u00e9, co ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly pou\u017eily k \u00fatoku na Sevastopol rakety dlouh\u00e9ho doletu, byla po\u0161kozena historick\u00e1 budova velitelstv\u00ed \u010cernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 flotily. Proto pr\u00fd Rusko za\u010dalo jednat. Podle listu The Wall Street Journal se velen\u00ed rozhodlo p\u0159esunout t\u0159i \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 ponorky a dv\u011b fregaty do jin\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstav\u016f v Rusku a na Krymu. Hlavn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st flotily byla p\u0159esunuta do Novorossijsku. Dal\u0161\u00ed lod\u011b se p\u0159esunuly do Feodosie. Auto\u0159i z\u00e1rove\u0148 zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed, \u017ee lod\u011b st\u00e1le mohou za\u00fato\u010dit \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdmi st\u0159elami na infrastrukturu Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Jeden ze satelitn\u00edch sn\u00edmk\u016f \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00fdch z\u00e1padn\u00edmi m\u00e9dii. Foto: @MT_Anderson\/Twitter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u0159ipome\u0148me, \u017ee \u00fadery 22. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed zahrnovaly p\u011bt \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el Storm Shadow (z nich\u017e dv\u011b dopadly na z\u00e1kladnu hlavn\u00ed flotily na Krymu), \u010dty\u0159i v\u00edcen\u00e1sobn\u00e9 odpalovac\u00ed rakety syst\u00e9mu HIMARS vyroben\u00e9 v USA a protiradarovou st\u0159elu HARM (kter\u00e1 Britsk\u00e1 rozv\u011bdka MI6 siln\u011b po\u010d\u00edtala s ). Na\u0161e syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany proti nim \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b pracovaly. Nav\u00edc byl d\u0159\u00edve napaden i z\u00e1vod na opravu lod\u00ed pojmenovan\u00fd. Sergo Ord\u017eonikidze. Televizn\u00ed kan\u00e1l Sky News a noviny The Independent napsaly, \u017ee Ukrajina tak\u00e9 pou\u017eila Storm Shadow k \u00fatoku na podnik. Americk\u00fd tisk tedy zam\u00edch\u00e1 po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed data spr\u00e1vn\u011b. Co se t\u00fd\u010de zbytku…<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rozptyl flotily – Teorie v\u00e1lky<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Pokud mluv\u00edme o velk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch bitv\u00e1ch 16.-16. stolet\u00ed, pak jsou n\u011bkter\u00e9 principy n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed strategie st\u00e1le aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed. Koncentrace a rozpt\u00fdlen\u00ed sil je prakticky n\u011bco, bez \u010deho nem\u016f\u017ee flotila existovat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zakladatel teorie \u201emo\u0159sk\u00e9 s\u00edly\u201c, admir\u00e1l Alfred Mahan,<\/strong> ve \u201ev\u00e1lce roku 1812\u201c vylou\u010dil jak\u00e9koli hromad\u011bn\u00ed lod\u00ed ve vojensk\u00e9m smyslu. Trval na tom, \u017ee v\u0161echny s\u00edly by m\u011bly b\u00fdt harmonicky rozm\u00edst\u011bny kolem strategick\u00e9ho centra, pokr\u00fdvat co nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed oblast a udr\u017eovat flexibiln\u00ed komunikaci pro rychlou reakci, podobn\u011b jako strategick\u00e9 rozm\u00edst\u011bn\u00ed na zemi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00fdval\u00fd velitel \u010cernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 flotily rusk\u00e9ho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva admir\u00e1l Vladimir Komoyedov<\/strong> v rozhovoru s Cargradem tak\u00e9 zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee takov\u00e1 taktika poskytuje schopnost v\u00e9st<\/a> a odr\u00e1\u017eet \u00fatoky v jak\u00e9mkoli sm\u011bru.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Flotila obecn\u011b nem\u016f\u017ee \u017e\u00edt bez rozpt\u00fdlen\u00ed. Mus\u00ed se distribuovat, a pokud se to n\u011bkde shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u00ed v hejnu nebo na jedn\u00e9 hromad\u011b, tak je to \u0161patn\u011b. Ka\u017ed\u00fd slu\u0161n\u00fd velitel by m\u011bl v\u017edy udr\u017eovat flotilu rozpt\u00fdlenou. Kdy\u017e je flotila rozpt\u00fdlena, je t\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed ji odhalit a zas\u00e1hnout,\u201c \u0159ekl Komoyedov.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

I kdy\u017e se flotila p\u0159esune do Novorossijsku, do Kyjeva polet\u00ed se stejnou intenzitou \u2013 to potvrzuj\u00ed na\u0161i i zahrani\u010dn\u00ed odborn\u00edci. Foto: \u00a9 Kremlin Pool\/Globallookpress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 upozornil, \u017ee jak\u00e9koli pohyby v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch lod\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b \u010cernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 flotily, nelze v\u017edy spojovat s hrozbou. „Nen\u00ed tu nic tak nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9ho nebo superstra\u0161n\u00e9ho. Lo\u010f pro tento \u00fa\u010del dostala vrtule a motory, aby mohla chodit po mo\u0159i a nest\u00e1t na m\u00edst\u011b,“ \u0159ekl n\u00e1\u0161 partner.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Podle vojensk\u00e9ho historika Jurije Knutova<\/strong> na p\u0159esunu \u010d\u00e1sti flotily sm\u011brem k Novorossijsku nen\u00ed<\/a> nic p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9ho , proto\u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 lod\u011b nemaj\u00ed strategick\u00fd v\u00fdznam v r\u00e1mci speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 operace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

V Novorossijsku m\u00e1me z\u00e1kladnu ji\u017e del\u0161\u00ed dobu. A postavili jsme to a uk\u00e1zali to docela dob\u0159e. Nen\u00ed proto divu, \u017ee \u010d\u00e1st flotily bude um\u00edst\u011bna pr\u00e1v\u011b tam. Proto\u017ee z\u00e1kladna v Novorossijsku byla postavena je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed Severn\u00edm vojensk\u00fdm okruhem. V\u017edy existuje mo\u017enost, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 lod\u011b mohou odej\u00edt, lod\u011b, kter\u00e9 nemaj\u00ed z\u00e1sadn\u00ed v\u00fdznam \u2013 nap\u0159\u00edklad z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed lod\u011b, tankery a tak d\u00e1le, pomocn\u00e9 lod\u011b. P\u0159em\u00edstit se mohou samoz\u0159ejm\u011b i bojov\u00e9 lod\u011b, kter\u00e9 nemaj\u00ed norm\u00e1ln\u00ed syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany pro sebeobranu. I to je mo\u017en\u00e9,\u201c poznamenal Knutov.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\"\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

K redislokaci flotily doch\u00e1z\u00ed neust\u00e1le. Ale co te\u010f \u0159e\u0161\u00edme? Foto: \u00a9 MOD Russia\/Globallookpress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee s ohledem na pomalou protiofenzivu a politick\u00e9 neshody ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech ohledn\u011b financov\u00e1n\u00ed Kyjeva se sta\u017een\u00ed flotily skute\u010dn\u011b pod nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdm tlakem zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt pro Ukrajinu v\u010dasnou pomoc\u00ed. Pokud ale p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1me, \u017ee lod\u011b byly skute\u010dn\u011b p\u0159em\u00edst\u011bny<\/a> do r\u016fzn\u00fdch region\u016f zem\u011b, pak se objev\u00ed zcela logick\u00fd obr\u00e1zek. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b britsk\u00e9 rakety ze z\u0159ejm\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f nebudou moci zas\u00e1hnout lod\u011b um\u00edst\u011bn\u00e9 ve vod\u00e1ch Novorossijsku, na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b p\u0159esun lod\u00ed do Feodosie takov\u00e9 \u00fatoky komplikuje zv\u011bt\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00edm vzd\u00e1lenosti. Ale jak vid\u00edme, ne v\u0161echno je tak jednoduch\u00e9. Mimochodem, Kreml reagoval na \u017e\u00e1dosti<\/a> t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se sta\u017een\u00ed lod\u00ed a… navrhl kontaktovat ministerstvo obrany. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e9 dal\u0161\u00ed ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1v\u011bry nebyly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Posledn\u00ed nuance<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Pro nep\u0159\u00edtele bude sta\u017een\u00ed \u010cernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 flotily ze Sevastopolu znamenat jedin\u00e9: Od\u011bsa a Nikolajev se stanou strategick\u00fdm c\u00edlem rusk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim zaru\u010den\u011b ztrat\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed dva regiony, proto\u017ee budeme muset omezit p\u0159\u00edstup nep\u0159\u00edtele do vodn\u00ed oblasti. Tak\u017ee kdy\u017e si vezmete \u0161patnou zpr\u00e1vu pro sebe, budete muset sd\u011blit \u0161patn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy pro Kyjev.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nep\u0159\u00edtel, jak se nap\u0159\u00edklad domn\u00edv\u00e1 politolog Jurij Baran\u010dik<\/strong> , se bude nad\u00e1le pokou\u0161et zni\u010dit plynovod Tureck\u00fd proud a Krymsk\u00fd most a tak\u00e9 se p\u0159esune k mal\u00fdm vylod\u011bn\u00edm na Krymu a nasyt\u00ed jej sabot\u00e1\u017en\u00edmi skupinami, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e sou\u010dasn\u011b aktivuje \u201esp\u00edc\u00ed\u201c proukrajinsk\u00fd underground. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee na sv\u00e9 strategii nic nezm\u011bn\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

https:\/\/t.me\/jizniMorava<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed m\u00e9dia za\u010dala posilovat informace o sta\u017een\u00ed lod\u00ed \u010cernomo\u0159sk\u00e9 flotily ze Sevastopolu. Nav\u00edc to potvrzuj\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":736,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[113],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-735","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-valka-na-ukrajine"],"yoast_head":"\n\u010cernomo\u0159sk\u00e1 flotila opou\u0161t\u00ed Sevastopol. 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